Economist articles

All good things must come to an end

China’s ongoing economic ascendancy is taken for granted. It is accepted that Chinese growth will slow somewhat; but the debate remains focussed on the speed of the catch-up process.

Will growth be supercharged or merely rapid? Half a century’s worth of GDP data, covering over 100 countries, suggests the likelihood of a more severe growth slowdown is significantly greater than this ‘consensus’ would imply. 


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